Historic anthropogenic CO2 emission and cumulative CO2 emissions (1850–2019) as well as remaining carbon budgets for limiting warming to 1.5°C (>67%) and 2°C (>67%)

Source: IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII TS, Figure TS.3
Estimates of historical carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and remaining carbon budgets.


Source: IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI SPM, Table SPM.2
Total anthropogenic direct and indirect GHG emissions for the year 2019 (in GtCO2-eq) by sector and subsector

Source: IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII Chapter 2, Figure 2.12
Cumulative past, projected, and committed emissions, and associated global temperature changes

Source: IPCC (2023) AR6 Synthesis Report Figure 3.5
“There is a near-linear relationship between cumulative CO2 emissions and the increase in global mean surface air temperature (GSAT) caused by CO2 over the course of this century for global warming levels up to at least 2°C relative to pre-industrial (high confidence).”
Source: IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI Chapter 5, pg. 678
“In addition to reaching net zero CO2 emissions, a strong reduction in methane emissions is the most critical component in non-CO2 mitigation to keep the Paris climate goals in reach.”
Source: IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII Chapter 3, pg. 319
Aggregate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of global mitigation pathways (coloured funnels and bars) and projected emission outcomes from current policies and emissions implied by unconditional and conditional elements of NDCs, based on updates available by 11 October 2021 (grey bars)

Source: IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII TS, Figure TS.9
Global emissions projections to 2035 and emissions gaps to Paris target
Climate Action Tracker (2025). 2035 Emissions Gap: CAT projections and resulting emissions gap in meeting the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal. November 2025. Source: https://climateactiontracker.org/global/emissions-gaps/
Climate Action Tracker evaluations of national net zero target designs
Climate Action Tracker (Oct. 2025). CAT net zero target designs – mostly inadequate. Source: https://climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-net-zero-target-evaluations/
Rating the comprehensiveness of national net zero target design


Climate Action Tracker (Oct. 2025). Table 1. Overview of Climate Action Tracker’s net zero target evaluations for G20 member countries (excluding France and Italy as both not separately analysed by the CAT) and selected other countries per key elements as of October 2025. Source: https://climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-net-zero-target-evaluations/
The role of CO2 in driving future climate change in comparison to other greenhouse gases (GHGs)

Source: IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI Chapter 1, Figure 1.29
Total annual anthropogenic GHG emissions by major economic sector and their underlying trends by region

Source: IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII Chapter 2, Figure 2.13, pg. 238
Change in regional GHGs from multiple perspectives and their underlying drivers

Source: IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII Chapter 2, Figure 2.9, pg. 234
The global carbon cycle

Source: Friedlingstein et al (2025) Global Carbon Budget 2024, Figure 2
Global carbon (CO2) budget (2010–2019)

Source: IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI Chapter 5, Figure 5.12
Global methane (CH4) budget (2008–2017)

Source: IPCC AR6 WGI Chapter 5, Figure 5.14
Global nitrous oxide (N2O) budget (2007–2016)

Source: IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI Chapter 5, Figure 5.17
Sustainable development pathways towards fulfilling the Sustainable Development Goals

Source: IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII TS, Figure TS.1, pg.56
Sources for this post:
- Climate Action Tracker (2025). 2035 Emissions Gap: CAT projections and resulting emissions gap in meeting the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal. November 2025
- Friedlingstein et al (2025) Global Carbon Budget 2024
- IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI, Summary for Policymakers
- IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI, Chapter 1, Framing, Context and Methods
- IPCC (2021) AR6 WGI, Chapter 5, Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks
- IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII, Technical Summary
- IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII, Chapter 2, Emissions trends and drivers
- IPCC (2022) AR6 WGIII, Chapter 3, Mitigation pathways compatible with long-term goals
- IPCC (2023) AR6 Climate Change 2023 Synthesis Report, Section 3, Long-Term Climate and Development Futures
Featured image: background by Arthur Yao on Unsplash, foreground IPCC AR6 WGIII TS Figure TS.3b